環保專案成果報告查詢系統

專案計畫編號	EPA-99-FA11-03-A092
經費年度	099
計畫經費	6,700 千元
專案開始日期	2010/05/06
專案結束日期	2010/12/31
專案主持人	劉子衙
主辦單位	溫減管理室(停用)
承辦人	王俊勝
執行單位	財團法人工業技術研究院
專案分類	大氣空氣
中文關鍵字	低碳社會;能源工程模型;低碳路徑
英文關鍵字	Low Carbon Society;Energy System Model;Low carbon path
協同主持人	蔡妙姍;郭瑾瑋;郭瑾瑋
共同主持人
計畫聯絡人	郭瑾瑋
計畫聯絡電話	03-5913298#
計畫聯絡信箱	Jing_wei@itri.org.tw

中文摘要	延續IPCC 第四次評估報告結論，哥本哈根會議亦達成協議，以「科學認可觀點」為前提，同意將氣溫上升限制在攝氏2度以下，這意謂著全球所有區域與部門均須進行積極低碳能源行動，以邁向低碳社會。我國「98年全國能源會議決議」亦將低碳社會與永續發展列為重要議題，並於會中確立低碳社會下之溫室氣體減量目標與經濟發展目標 (列為共同意見)，希冀我國未來朝低碳社會邁進。因此，本計畫將結合能源工程模型與總體經濟模型，以二年期程建構我國2050年低碳路徑發展藍圖，並編撰我國低碳路徑發展白皮書草案。本工作計畫總目標及年度工作目標包括：一、計畫總目標 (一)評估我國各部門短、中、長期之減量潛力及減量成本分析。 (二)建構我國2050年低碳路徑發展藍圖。二、第一年計畫(2010年)目標 (一)研析國際主要國家推行低碳路徑願景之評估模擬模式與減量策略推動。 (二)擴展與主要國家政府部門及學研相關單位合作管道，針對低碳路徑發展藍圖規劃架構進行交流。 (三)建構我國低碳路徑發展藍圖之成本效益評估程序與架構。 (四)評估能源部門包含傳統能源與再生能源、氫能、燃料電池、生質能源等新能源之減量潛力及減量成本分析。 (五)應用能源工程模型評估各部門短、中期之減量潛力及減量成本分析。 (六)彙整我國各部會推展因應氣候變遷相關策略與發展動態，配合本署業務需求及國際發展，定期提供研析資訊。三、第二年計畫(2011年)目標 (一)依據未來土地利用、生活型態、社會結構與科技發展趨勢，規劃我國2050年低碳經濟、社會發展情境。 (二)評估我國低碳路徑發展之能源服務需求及國內經濟面向減碳策略之減量效果。 (三)應用能源工程模型評估2050年電力部門、工業部門、住商部門及運輸部門可能之低碳發展途徑，包括各部門減量措施、減量潛力及減量成本分析，完成我國2050年低碳路徑發展藍圖。 (四)與國際低碳路徑模型研究團隊建立合作管道，交流低碳路徑發展藍圖規劃內容與評估方法。 (五)研擬編撰我國低碳路徑發展白皮書。
中文關鍵字	低碳社會;能源工程模型;低碳路徑

中文摘要

延續IPCC 第四次評估報告結論，哥本哈根會議亦達成協議，以「科學認可觀點」為前提，同意將氣溫上升限制在攝氏2度以下，這意謂著全球所有區域與部門均須進行積極低碳能源行動，以邁向低碳社會。我國「98年全國能源會議決議」亦將低碳社會與永續發展列為重要議題，並於會中確立低碳社會下之溫室氣體減量目標與經濟發展目標 (列為共同意見)，希冀我國未來朝低碳社會邁進。因此，本計畫將結合能源工程模型與總體經濟模型，以二年期程建構我國2050年低碳路徑發展藍圖，並編撰我國低碳路徑發展白皮書草案。本工作計畫總目標及年度工作目標包括：一、計畫總目標 (一)評估我國各部門短、中、長期之減量潛力及減量成本分析。 (二)建構我國2050年低碳路徑發展藍圖。二、第一年計畫(2010年)目標 (一)研析國際主要國家推行低碳路徑願景之評估模擬模式與減量策略推動。 (二)擴展與主要國家政府部門及學研相關單位合作管道，針對低碳路徑發展藍圖規劃架構進行交流。 (三)建構我國低碳路徑發展藍圖之成本效益評估程序與架構。 (四)評估能源部門包含傳統能源與再生能源、氫能、燃料電池、生質能源等新能源之減量潛力及減量成本分析。 (五)應用能源工程模型評估各部門短、中期之減量潛力及減量成本分析。 (六)彙整我國各部會推展因應氣候變遷相關策略與發展動態，配合本署業務需求及國際發展，定期提供研析資訊。三、第二年計畫(2011年)目標 (一)依據未來土地利用、生活型態、社會結構與科技發展趨勢，規劃我國2050年低碳經濟、社會發展情境。 (二)評估我國低碳路徑發展之能源服務需求及國內經濟面向減碳策略之減量效果。 (三)應用能源工程模型評估2050年電力部門、工業部門、住商部門及運輸部門可能之低碳發展途徑，包括各部門減量措施、減量潛力及減量成本分析，完成我國2050年低碳路徑發展藍圖。 (四)與國際低碳路徑模型研究團隊建立合作管道，交流低碳路徑發展藍圖規劃內容與評估方法。 (五)研擬編撰我國低碳路徑發展白皮書。

中文關鍵字

低碳社會;能源工程模型;低碳路徑

類型	檔名	檔案大小	說明	最新版公開日期
期末報告	2. FY99期末-計畫成果報告摘要(詳細版).pdf	0MB		2011/4/1 上午 12:00:00

摘要	In continuation of the conclusion of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, the COP 15 in Copenhagen last December accordingly reached the accord to maintain the global average temperature fluctuation within 2 degrees Celsius with the premise of "recognized scientific point of view", meaning all regions and sectors in the global community are to be in compliance to implement active low-carbon energy actions for moving towards low-carbon society. In Taiwan, the Resolution of “2009 National Energy Conference " list low-carbon society and sustainable development as important issues and secured the emission reduction target and the economic development goal for low-carbon society, as consensus opinion, for the moving toward the low-carbon society in the future. In due course, this project will be in combination with the energy engineering model and the macro-economic model to development national blueprint on the low-carbon path for 2050 within a two-year process period, in together with compiling the draft White Paper on low-carbon path for development. The overall objectives of this project and annual objectives include: 1. The Overall Objectives: (1) the assessment on sectoral short, medium and long-term reduction potential and cost analysis in Taiwan. (2) the development 2050 development blueprint on low-carbon path in Taiwan. 2. The goals for the 2010, year one, of the project: (1) analyzing the modeling, strategies and implementations on carbon reduction in major role playing countries in the global community. (2) extending channels in communication on framework designing for low-carbon path development blueprint with governmental and academic counterparts. (3) framing the assessment process and framework on the cost benefit of the national blueprint for low-carbon path. (4) assessing the emission reduction potential and cost analysis on the energy sector, including traditional energy, renewable energy, hydrogen energy, fuel cells, and biomass energy etc. (5) assessing the emission short-, medium-term reduction potential and cost analysis on each sector through the energy engineering model. (6) compiling related strategies and developments in response to climate change from all ministries to meet the requirement of Environmental Protection Administration and developments on international affairs with regular basis in providing information for periodical analysis. 3. The goals for the 2011, year two, of the project: (1) designing the national scenario of low-carbon economy and social development in 2050 in compliance with the land use, life style, social structure and technology development trends in the future. (2) assessing the energy service demands and the domestic economy effects of the carbon emission reduction strategy based on the low carbon development path. (3) assessing possible low carbon development paths on the power, industrial, residential and commercial, and the transport sectors in 2050 which will include sectoral emission reduction measures, potential, and cost analysis leading to finalization of 2050 national low carbon development path blueprint. (4) establishing cooperation channels with international low-carbon path model research teams in exchange of blueprint content and assessment methodology. (5) developing and the edition of national White Paper on low-carbon path.
英文關鍵字	Low Carbon Society;Energy System Model;Low carbon path

摘要

In continuation of the conclusion of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, the COP 15 in Copenhagen last December accordingly reached the accord to maintain the global average temperature fluctuation within 2 degrees Celsius with the premise of "recognized scientific point of view", meaning all regions and sectors in the global community are to be in compliance to implement active low-carbon energy actions for moving towards low-carbon society. In Taiwan, the Resolution of “2009 National Energy Conference " list low-carbon society and sustainable development as important issues and secured the emission reduction target and the economic development goal for low-carbon society, as consensus opinion, for the moving toward the low-carbon society in the future. In due course, this project will be in combination with the energy engineering model and the macro-economic model to development national blueprint on the low-carbon path for 2050 within a two-year process period, in together with compiling the draft White Paper on low-carbon path for development. The overall objectives of this project and annual objectives include: 1. The Overall Objectives: (1) the assessment on sectoral short, medium and long-term reduction potential and cost analysis in Taiwan. (2) the development 2050 development blueprint on low-carbon path in Taiwan. 2. The goals for the 2010, year one, of the project: (1) analyzing the modeling, strategies and implementations on carbon reduction in major role playing countries in the global community. (2) extending channels in communication on framework designing for low-carbon path development blueprint with governmental and academic counterparts. (3) framing the assessment process and framework on the cost benefit of the national blueprint for low-carbon path. (4) assessing the emission reduction potential and cost analysis on the energy sector, including traditional energy, renewable energy, hydrogen energy, fuel cells, and biomass energy etc. (5) assessing the emission short-, medium-term reduction potential and cost analysis on each sector through the energy engineering model. (6) compiling related strategies and developments in response to climate change from all ministries to meet the requirement of Environmental Protection Administration and developments on international affairs with regular basis in providing information for periodical analysis. 3. The goals for the 2011, year two, of the project: (1) designing the national scenario of low-carbon economy and social development in 2050 in compliance with the land use, life style, social structure and technology development trends in the future. (2) assessing the energy service demands and the domestic economy effects of the carbon emission reduction strategy based on the low carbon development path. (3) assessing possible low carbon development paths on the power, industrial, residential and commercial, and the transport sectors in 2050 which will include sectoral emission reduction measures, potential, and cost analysis leading to finalization of 2050 national low carbon development path blueprint. (4) establishing cooperation channels with international low-carbon path model research teams in exchange of blueprint content and assessment methodology. (5) developing and the edition of national White Paper on low-carbon path.

英文關鍵字

Low Carbon Society;Energy System Model;Low carbon path