110

12,185 千元

溫室氣體減緩策略規劃

2021/04/22

2022/04/21

鍾詩明

環管處

王俊勝

財團法人工業技術研究院

國際性議題

淨零排放路徑、2050淨零、長期策略

Net Zero Emissions Pathway, 2050 Net Zero, Long-term Strategies

賴宇倫；劉恩廷

劉恩廷

03-5918585#

etliu@itri.org.tw

全球氣候緊急面臨高風險，為抑止全球暖化，2050淨零排放已成為全球趨勢。臺灣因應此一變化，需進行「能源轉型」、「產業轉型」、「民生與公正轉型」等領域之轉型戰略。本計畫以長期能源替代規劃系統(Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System, LEAP)模型之技術資料庫建構為基礎，考量現況策略之減碳趨勢，並評估強化政策與商用技術下最大減碳潛力與淨零排放差距。提出我國各部門發展趨勢與減碳方案，探討各部門減碳方案之成本與可行性，評估未來達成溫室氣體減量及管理法2050年目標或淨零排放轉型策略組合。同時，本計畫透過與英國在台代表處遴選之合作權威研究機構Vivid Economics進行2050淨零排放之委託研究，就臺灣能源轉型目標與挑戰及深度減碳技術研究與發展等面向，探討邁向永續未來可能面臨的挑戰與契機。據此，本計畫主要工作成果項目如下：1、研析國際淨零排放路徑願景與模型應用，規劃我國低碳社會發展情境；2、建構我國長期低碳排放分析平台模型，評估我國長期減碳潛力及成本；3、研析淨零排放創新情境，探究未來氫社會潛力與相關低碳排放基礎設施之發展；4、評估我國低碳排放路徑長期願景，淨零排放可行性分析與部門轉型建議；5、評析英國淨零排放推動作法，分析我國長期淨零排放的潛在情境及可能方案選項。

淨零排放路徑、2050淨零、長期策略

110A183_成果報告.pdf

11MB

成果報告

2022/7/31 上午 12:00:00

Under the current situation of high risk of global climate emergency, to curb global warming, 2050 net zero emissions has become a global trend. In response to this change, Taiwan needs to carry out transformation strategies in the fields of "energy transformation", "industry transformation", and "people's livelihood and justice transformation". Based on the construction of the technical database of the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) model, this project considers the carbon reduction trends of current strategies and evaluates the gap between the maximum carbon reduction potential and net zero emissions under enhanced policies and commercial technologies. Propose the development trend and carbon reduction plan of various departments in my country, discuss the cost and feasibility of the carbon reduction plan proposed by each department, and evaluate the future achievement of the 2050 goal or the net zero emission transformation strategies. At the same time, the project also conducted a study on 2050 net zero emissions with Vivid Economics, a cooperating authoritative research institution selected by the British Office Taipei, to discuss the goals and challenges of Taiwan's energy transition and the research and development of deep carbon reduction technologies Challenges and opportunities for a sustainable future. The major tasks and results include: 1. Studying the net zero emission path of global vision and modeling applications; planning the development scenario of Taiwan's low-carbon society; 2. Building the long-term low-carbon emission analysis platform model to evaluate the long-term carbon reduction potential and cost; 3. Analyzing the innovative scenario of net zero emissions, exploring the potential of hydrogen society in the future and the development of related low-carbon emission infrastructure; 4. Evaluating the long-term vision of Taiwan's low-carbon emission pathway; analyzing net-zero emission feasibility for sector transformation recommendations; and 5. Remarking the UK net zero emission pathway; analyzing the scenarios and possible options of Taiwan's long-term net zero emission pathway.

Net Zero Emissions Pathway, 2050 Net Zero, Long-term Strategies