113

17,700 千元

淨零排放科技-淨零路徑減量效益整合計畫

2024/04/11

2024/12/31

鍾詩明

氣候署淨零推動組

朱肇安

財團法人工業技術研究院

氣候變遷

淨零排放、低排放分析平臺、共伴效益

net zero, LEAP, co-benefit

姚永真；林丞庭

蔡采蓁

89786046#473

LucyTsai0430@itri.org.tw

巴黎協定通過設定控制全球暖化的目標，向世界發出因應氣候危機緊迫性的信號，促進了近乎普世的氣候行動。COP 28 後以氣候公約定義為巴黎協定關鍵十年成為了 1.5℃ 目標最重要時期。然而，全球能源轉型已偏離了淨零路徑。強化目標與企圖心時各國應考慮國情、體現衡平與共同但有區別的責任。COP 28 決議文阿拉伯聯合大公國共識 (The UAE Consensus) 指出，各國應提升企圖心，並基於全球盤點結果，於 2025 年 9 至12 個月前提出新一輪國家自定貢獻。本計畫藉由瑞典斯德哥爾摩環境研究所研發之溫室氣體低排放分析平臺 (Low Emission Analysis Platform, LEAP) 建立淨零模型。2050淨零路徑與十二項關鍵戰略除了溫室氣體淨零排放目標外，亦有巴黎協定所述提升環境品質之共伴效益。本計畫因應全球局勢並依循全球盤點國際遵約原則評析氣候變遷因應法下臺灣溫室氣體減量成果與發展趨勢，盤點臺灣淨零路徑發展現況推估臺灣長期淨零排放路徑及2035年目標與部門里程碑，續評估淨零路徑與空氣污染共伴效益，期能協助國內推動減碳政策，並追蹤國際氣候科學社群動態，加入國際主流模型聯盟與平臺網絡，延伸溫室氣體管理創新工項與展望。

淨零排放、低排放分析平臺、共伴效益

113BA013.pdf

19MB

2025/2/28 上午 12:00:00

The Paris Agreement sets the goal for controlling global warming, sending a signal to the world about the urgency of addressing the climate crisis and promoting nearly universal climate action. The post-COP 28 period, defined by the UNFCCC as the Paris Agreement Critical Decade, has become the most crucial time for the 1.5℃ goal. However, the global energy transition has deviated from the net-zero pathway. Strengthening targets and ambition requires country parties to consider their national circumstances, reflect equity, and acknowledge common but differentiated responsibilities. The UAE Consensus in the COP 28 resolution highlights the need for countries to enhance ambition and, based on global stocktake results, submit new nationally determined contributions (2035 NDCs) nine to twelve months by 2025. This project establishes a Net Zero Model using the Low Emission Analysis Platform (LEAP) developed by the Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI). In addition to greenhouse gas net-zero emission targets, the 2050 net-zero pathway and twelve key strategies also aim to enhance environmental integrity as described in the Paris Agreement. The project team has become a formal member of the Integrated Assessment Modeling Consortium (IAMC). It will assess Taiwan's net-zero pathway development status in response to global trends and follow international inventory principles. The project will assist domestic policy promotion, join mainstream international modeling teams and analysis platform networks, and expand greenhouse gas management innovation and prospects.

net zero, LEAP, co-benefit