| 英文摘要 |
In continuation of the conclusion of the IPCC Fourth Assessment Report, the COP 15 in Copenhagen last December accordingly reached the accord to maintain the global average temperature fluctuation within 2 degrees Celsius with the premise of "recognized scientific point of view", meaning all regions and sectors in the global community are to be in compliance to implement active low-carbon energy actions for moving towards low-carbon society. In Taiwan, the Resolution of “2009 National Energy Conference " list low-carbon society and sustainable development as important issues and secured the emission reduction target and the economic development goal for low-carbon society, as consensus opinion, for the moving toward the low-carbon society in the future. In due course, this project will be in combination with the energy engineering model and the macro-economic model to development national blueprint on the low-carbon path for 2050 within a two-year process period, in together with compiling the draft White Paper on low-carbon path for development. The overall objectives of this project and annual objectives include:
1. The Overall Objectives:
(1) the assessment on sectoral short, medium and long-term reduction potential and cost analysis in Taiwan.
(2) the development 2050 development blueprint on low-carbon path in Taiwan.
2. The goals for the 2010, year one, of the project:
(1) analyzing the modeling, strategies and implementations on carbon reduction in major role playing countries in the global community.
(2) extending channels in communication on framework designing for low-carbon path development blueprint with governmental and academic counterparts.
(3) framing the assessment process and framework on the cost benefit of the national blueprint for low-carbon path.
(4) assessing the emission reduction potential and cost analysis on the energy sector, including traditional energy, renewable energy, hydrogen energy, fuel cells, and biomass energy etc.
(5) assessing the emission short-, medium-term reduction potential and cost analysis on each sector through the energy engineering model.
(6) compiling related strategies and developments in response to climate change from all ministries to meet the requirement of Environmental Protection Administration and developments on international affairs with regular basis in providing information for periodical analysis.
3. The goals for the 2011, year two, of the project:
(1) designing the national scenario of low-carbon economy and social development in 2050 in compliance with the land use, life style, social structure and technology development trends in the future.
(2) assessing the energy service demands and the domestic economy effects of the carbon emission reduction strategy based on the low carbon development path.
(3) assessing possible low carbon development paths on the power, industrial, residential and commercial, and the transport sectors in 2050 which will include sectoral emission reduction measures, potential, and cost analysis leading to finalization of 2050 national low carbon development path blueprint.
(4) establishing cooperation channels with international low-carbon path model research teams in exchange of blueprint content and assessment methodology.
(5) developing and the edition of national White Paper on low-carbon path.
|