| 英文摘要 |
Although strategies and measures taken to address climate change are different in each country, there do exist similarity that every country utilizes the approach of model analysis to evaluate CO2 abatement policies, either to project the greenhouse gas emissions from energy consumption, and/or to formulate mitigation policies. By understanding the way international countries adopt to simulate the CO2 emission reductions policies, it is essential for Taiwan MARKAL and MARKAL-MACRO models to compare how the developed and developing countries around the world are using engineering models for GHG abatement analysis. To realize the differences from model practices and outcomes between Taiwan and other countries is important in the respect of using the models efficiently and correctly.
The main purpose of this project is to re-evaluate the national carbon dioxide emission trend with MARKAL and MARKAL-MACRO models. Evaluation will be approached based on updated national outlook on economic development. Comprehensive information from international resources and domestic conditions from National Energy Conference Conclusions will be referred for model preparation and run. The feasibility that meets the tentative country’s carbon dioxide emission reduction target will be explored through a variety of elastic and tentative targets setting. Based on scenario approach, pathways to reach the reduction requirements will be researched and analyzed in each scenario. Strategies and measures for sector’s emission reduction will be studied for priority ordering and specifically the sector marginal reduction cost will be computed as well.
|